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Why "Fine-Tuners" Went Wrong, December 8, 1967
Release No. 1102
Columbia Features, Inc.
For release on or after
36 West 44th Street
December 8, 1967
New York, N. Y. 10036
By LAWRENCE FERTIG
WHY "FINE-TUNERS" WENT WRONG
It all sounded so plausible. Many people believed it. The way to secure a
steady. non-inflationary prosperity and strengthen free enterprise -- said apostles
of the New Economics -- is to manipulate two controlling factors: (1) the total of
federal spending and federal taxes, (2) the volume of newly-created money and
bank-credit, which is controlled by the Federal Reserve Board. The New Economics
asserted that Washington administrators could "fine-tune" the economy, thus avoid-
ing the possibility of any crisis.
It all sounded plausible, but there is no doubt that the New Economics is
in difficulty now -- a difficulty severely compounded by the devaluation of the
pound. Plainly Washington economists pressed the wrong buttons. Even before the
devaluation there was talk in financial circles of a coming "money crunch". The
words "financial crisis"have been prevalent in informed circles for some time.
Despite the record flood of money and credit released by action of the Federal
been
Reserve there has/strong demand for more and still more funds.
The situation today is a curious one. If we are to prevent the dollar from
going the way of the pound then inflation must be definitely curbed. But the Fed
hesitates to substantially cut the abundant flow of bank-credit which it has been
creating at a record rate, especially because there is pressure on the U. S. economy
due to sterling devaluation. On the other hand the Fed fears to continue its
monetary inflation at the rate it has maintained this year. It would face the
inevitable consequences -- runaway price increases, still higher interest rates
and a demoralized capital market -- and finally an overwhelming threat to our gold
supply and the dollar.
A vital part of the problem is mounting federal deficits for the Great
Society. It should be noted that for many years the New Economics derided the
public's concern about spending and cumulative deficits. As Fed Chairman William
McChesney Martin said, fiscal planners acted as if "deficits are good and budget
surpluses are bad in themselves." So there was over-spending in good years
as
well as in bad. It was asserted that larger deficits would not be troublesome,
and that they should be planned.
Now we face the day of reckoning. There is an estimated federal deficit
this year between $18 and $30 billion (its magnitude depends on Congress passing
a surtax and the Executive cutting spending.)
The U. S. Treasury must finance
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Why "Fine-Tuners" Went Wrong, December 8, 1967
Details
12/08/1967