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Economics and Finance Newspaper Clipping, February 14, 1949
The New York Times
ECONOMICS AND FINANCE
'Monopoly Prices': An Echo of 1938
By EDWARD
H. COLLINS
Two Administration economic
the recession of 1937-38 and as
advisers, testifying last week be-
the philosophic foundation for the
fore the Joint Committee on the
Temporary National Economic
Committee.
Economic Report, struck a note
The chief weaknesses of Means
which must have sounded strangely
study were the failure of its au-
familiar to those whose memories
thor to relate his price findings to
go back to the days of the Tem-
the history of price behaviorism
porary National Economic Com-
over the years on the one hand
mittee and the events preceding
and over the entire business cycle
the latter's creation on June 16,
on the other.
1938.
To Means, "rigid prices" were
These economists were asked
more or less assumed to be a
their opinions about the recent
recent development, a product of
break in the prices of farm com-
modern industrial concentration
modities. They didn't, it seems,
and "administered prices." Com-
view this too seriously. What
menting on this assumption, Rufus
really disturbed them, they told
Tucker, writing in "The American
the committee, was the fact that
Economic Review" for March,
there had been no evidence of a
1938, quoted price series going
decline in a number of industrial
back as far as 1837 to show that
prices. Farm prices, they observed,
"the most striking change of the
"are sensitive to demand and sup-
last ninety years has not been the
ply relationships. The prices of
development of rigid prices but the
many industrial goods, on the other
development of extremely flexible
hand, are kept high, partly through
prices." And he added:
monopoly and partly through ad-
"To assume that men like Smith,
ministered price practices."
Ricardo and Mill were not aware
In some respects this was at
of these facts (that the prices of
least superficially an odd spectacle
fabricated materials behaved dif-
-this spectacle of two economists
ferently from those of raw ma-
who have rarely overlooked an op-
terials) is preposterous.
Clas-
portunity to proclaim the virtues
sical theory rests on the assump-
of "economic stability" now speak-
tion that with declining demand,
ing as if there were something
unless at the same time costs of
peculiarly virtuous about a com-
production decline correspondingly,
modity that could plunge, as corn
output would be reduced.
The
has done in the last twelve months,
recent discovery by certain econo-
from $2.80 a bushel to around
mists and politicians of a phe-
$1.15, and something correspond-
nomenon that was common and
ingly sinister in the fact that the
generally known in the eighteenth
prices of farm machinery and steel
century
is, in my opinion, no
rails had not performed in similar
more important and no less ridicu-
fashion. It was particularly odd
lous than the discovery by
in view of the fact that these
Moliere's bourgeois gentilhomme
gentlemen are advisers to an
that he had been speaking prose
Administration which is whole-
all his life.'
heartedly committed to a policy
Next to Means' acceptance of
of supporting (or "administering")
the recent behavior of prices as
farm prices.
a strictly modern phenomenon, and
But if this testimony may have
largely indigenous to the Ameri-
appeared contradictory on its face,
can industrial system, the chief
it was essentially neither new nor
weakness of his theory was its
original, For these Administration
failure to consider price behavior
experts were merely reviving
a
over the whole business cycle. This
thesis that was currently fashion-
would have revealed, generally
able in the late 'Thirties, the thesis
speaking, that prices, which are
of "rigid," "stick" or "monopoly"
the most volatile on the downside
prices. Stated in its simplest
are also the most volatile on the
terms this theory is that depres-
upside (as witness farm prices be-
sions are a consequence of "a
tween 1939 and 1948), and that
general dropping of prices at the
those which are the slowest to re-
flexible end of the price scale and
cede are also likely to be the slow-
dropping of production at the
est to advance.
rigid end, with intermediate ef-
The simple truth of the matter
fects in between."
is, of course, that some prices are
The above quotation is from a
more volatile than others and al-
study, "Industrial Prices and Their
ways will be; that the maladjust-
Relative Inflexibility" by Gardiner
ments between the more volatile
C. Means, which introduced this
and the more stable prices is one
theory and was produced around
of the major evils incident to in-
1934 when its author was economic
flation and deflation; that what
adviser to the then Secretary of
people need is, not more volatile,
Agriculture, Henry A. Wallace. It
but more stable, prices, and that
was rewritten in January, 1935,
the best known way of achieving
and published as a Senate docu-
this is by preventing inflation. of
ment. But its chief claim to prom-
which deflation is, if not inevitably
finence is that it was later to be
at least all too frequently, the
ul.
ked
as rationalization
of
timate sequel.
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Economics and Finance Newspaper Clipping, February 14, 1949
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02/14/1949